Genomic heterogeneity inflates the performance of variant pathogenicity predictions (Lu, Liu, Lin and Brandes, bioRxiv 2025, v2)
bioRxiv preprint version 2, posted 2025-09-10 (version 1 posted 2025-09-08); full-text PDF (21 pages) · Preprint
What this source contributed
Records in this release that cite this source. A record can cite several sources.
Results
Values as the source printed them. Compare results only under compatible protocols, datasets and metrics.
Claims
Statements this source supports, each with where in the source it was checked.
- AlphaGenome results depend on the scoring method: Evaluation finding Lu et al. report that AlphaGenome is highly sensitive to the method used to extract scores: with the recommended all-output maximum-quantile score it ranks first on non-splice intronic (0.960) and synonymous (0.919) ClinVar SNVs but reaches 0.592 on canonical splice SNVs, where the raw splice site usage score reaches 0.779 and the original publication's splice scorer 0.708 (Supplementary Figure S2). (Discussion paragraph 1 (page 10); Methods 'AlphaGenome' (pages 16 to 17); Figure 1; Supplementary Figure S2)
- AlphaGenome scoring setup in Lu et al. 2025: Scoring setup Official AlphaGenome API (deepmind.google.com/science/alphagenome), 1 Mbp input context centred on the variant, organism human, all output modalities enabled (5,930 human genomic annotations across 11 modalities). Each output converted to quantiles; the variant score is the maximum percentile across all outputs. (Methods 'AlphaGenome' (pages 16 to 17))
- Lu et al. 2025 values read from figure labels: Extraction method Figure 1 and Supplementary Figure S2 are the only places most values are printed. Figure 1 is vector art without a text layer and S2 is a raster image; every bar carries a printed numeric label and a named row, so the labels were transcribed from renders. Figure 2 (Evo2 score distributions) has no printed values and is not extracted. (Figure 1 (page 8); Figure 2 (page 9); Supplementary Figure S2 (page 21))
Models, benchmarks and other records
Methods (1)
Configurations (21)
- AlphaGenome all outputs, quantile, maximum (Lu et al. 2025)
- AlphaGenome splice composite, quantile scores (Lu et al. 2025)
- AlphaGenome splice composite, raw scores (Lu et al. 2025)
- AlphaGenome splice junction, quantile, maximum (Lu et al. 2025)
- AlphaGenome splice junction, raw, maximum (Lu et al. 2025)
- AlphaGenome splice site usage, quantile, maximum (Lu et al. 2025)
- AlphaGenome splice site usage, raw, maximum (Lu et al. 2025)
- AlphaGenome splice site, quantile, maximum (Lu et al. 2025)
- AlphaGenome splice site, raw, maximum (Lu et al. 2025)
- AlphaMissense precomputed scores (Lu et al. 2025)
- DNABERT-2 117M, CLS embedding L2 distance (Lu et al. 2025)
- ESM1b 650M log-likelihood ratio, Brandes et al. pipeline (Lu et al. 2025)
- ESM1v model 1 log-likelihood ratio, Brandes et al. pipeline (Lu et al. 2025)
- ESM2 650M log-likelihood ratio, Brandes et al. pipeline (Lu et al. 2025)
- Evo 2 7B base, 8,192 bp log-likelihood ratio (Lu et al. 2025)
- GPN-MSA precomputed hg38 scores (Lu et al. 2025)
- Nucleotide Transformer 2.5B multi-species, CLS embedding L2 distance (Lu et al. 2025)
- PhyloGPN, official example code (Lu et al. 2025)
- PhyloP 100-way vertebrate (Lu et al. 2025)
- PrimateAI-3D precomputed scores (Lu et al. 2025)
- Variant-type pathogenicity prior on the benchmark's own labels (Lu et al. 2025)
Protocols (1)
Datasets (1)
Dataset subsets (15)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: 3' UTR (Figure 1)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: 5' UTR (Figure 1)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: All variants (Figure 1)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: Intron (Non-splice) (Figure 1)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: Missense (Figure 1)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: Missense & 3'UTR (Figure 1)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: Missense & Intron (Non-splice) (Figure 1)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: Noncoding (Figure 1)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: RNA gene (Figure 1)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: Splice (Figure 1)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: splice variants scored by AlphaGenome (Supplementary Figure S2)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: Start loss (Figure 1)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: Stop gain (Figure 1)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: Stop loss (Figure 1)
- Lu et al. 2025 ClinVar benchmark: Synonymous (Figure 1)
Evaluations (132)
- AlphaGenome All outputs (quantile) on ClinVar splice variants (Lu et al. 2025 Supplementary Figure S2)
- AlphaGenome All splice outputs (quantile) on ClinVar splice variants (Lu et al. 2025 Supplementary Figure S2)
- AlphaGenome All splice outputs (raw) on ClinVar splice variants (Lu et al. 2025 Supplementary Figure S2)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar 3' UTR SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar 5' UTR SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar All variants SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar Intron (Non-splice) SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar Missense & 3'UTR SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar Missense & Intron (Non-splice) SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar Missense SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar Noncoding SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar RNA gene SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar Splice SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar Start loss SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar Stop gain SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar Stop loss SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome on ClinVar Synonymous SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaGenome Splice junction (quantile) on ClinVar splice variants (Lu et al. 2025 Supplementary Figure S2)
- AlphaGenome Splice junction (raw) on ClinVar splice variants (Lu et al. 2025 Supplementary Figure S2)
- AlphaGenome Splice site (quantile) on ClinVar splice variants (Lu et al. 2025 Supplementary Figure S2)
- AlphaGenome Splice site (raw) on ClinVar splice variants (Lu et al. 2025 Supplementary Figure S2)
- AlphaGenome Splice site usage (quantile) on ClinVar splice variants (Lu et al. 2025 Supplementary Figure S2)
- AlphaGenome Splice site usage (raw) on ClinVar splice variants (Lu et al. 2025 Supplementary Figure S2)
- AlphaMissense on ClinVar Missense & 3'UTR SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
- AlphaMissense on ClinVar Missense & Intron (Non-splice) SNVs (Lu et al. 2025 Figure 1)
Evidence
Source checking verifies the cited claim or transcription. It does not establish independent reproduction.
Evidence table
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20 evidence rows matching the loaded filters
| Property and statement | Original source and location | Review and provenance |
|---|---|---|
| Artifact SHA-256 5b8e939257000811a6eaddd90d9de3e03bf1ac0e9015a38769df887ee01f9bf2 Source metadata | Genomic heterogeneity inflates the performance of variant pathogenicity predictions (Lu, Liu, Lin and Brandes, bioRxiv 2025, v2) No field-specific location recorded Version: bioRxiv preprint version 2, posted 2025-09-10 (version 1 posted 2025-09-08); full-text PDF (21 pages) | catalogued No individual claim review recorded Audit detailsField: Source artifact SHA-256: Hash scope: SHA-256 of one retrieval of the bioRxiv PDF. bioRxiv stamps the PDF on each download: a second retrieval at 2026-10-19T12:31:50Z had the same length (1,100,277 bytes), SHA-256 1a1aa1135ad8aa59bdb949bf8df75262eb6feba51b47f49439dbb819c426fbdd, differed in 32 bytes (ModDate) and had an identical pdftotext -layout text layer. |
| Artifact url https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.09.05.674459v2.full.pdf Source metadata | Genomic heterogeneity inflates the performance of variant pathogenicity predictions (Lu, Liu, Lin and Brandes, bioRxiv 2025, v2) No field-specific location recorded Version: bioRxiv preprint version 2, posted 2025-09-10 (version 1 posted 2025-09-08); full-text PDF (21 pages) | catalogued No individual claim review recorded Audit detailsField: Source artifact SHA-256: Hash scope: SHA-256 of one retrieval of the bioRxiv PDF. bioRxiv stamps the PDF on each download: a second retrieval at 2026-10-19T12:31:50Z had the same length (1,100,277 bytes), SHA-256 1a1aa1135ad8aa59bdb949bf8df75262eb6feba51b47f49439dbb819c426fbdd, differed in 32 bytes (ModDate) and had an identical pdftotext -layout text layer. |
| Doi 10.1101/2025.09.05.674459 Source metadata | Genomic heterogeneity inflates the performance of variant pathogenicity predictions (Lu, Liu, Lin and Brandes, bioRxiv 2025, v2) No field-specific location recorded Version: bioRxiv preprint version 2, posted 2025-09-10 (version 1 posted 2025-09-08); full-text PDF (21 pages) | catalogued No individual claim review recorded Audit detailsField: Source artifact SHA-256: Hash scope: SHA-256 of one retrieval of the bioRxiv PDF. bioRxiv stamps the PDF on each download: a second retrieval at 2026-10-19T12:31:50Z had the same length (1,100,277 bytes), SHA-256 1a1aa1135ad8aa59bdb949bf8df75262eb6feba51b47f49439dbb819c426fbdd, differed in 32 bytes (ModDate) and had an identical pdftotext -layout text layer. |
| Hash scope SHA-256 of one retrieval of the bioRxiv PDF. bioRxiv stamps the PDF on each download: a second retrieval at 2026-10-19T12:31:50Z had the same length (1,100,277 bytes), SHA-256 1a1aa1135ad8aa59bdb949bf8df75262eb6feba51b47f49439dbb819c426fbdd, differed in 32 bytes (ModDate) and had an identical pdftotext -layout text layer. Source metadata | Genomic heterogeneity inflates the performance of variant pathogenicity predictions (Lu, Liu, Lin and Brandes, bioRxiv 2025, v2) No field-specific location recorded Version: bioRxiv preprint version 2, posted 2025-09-10 (version 1 posted 2025-09-08); full-text PDF (21 pages) | catalogued No individual claim review recorded Audit detailsField: Source artifact SHA-256: Hash scope: SHA-256 of one retrieval of the bioRxiv PDF. bioRxiv stamps the PDF on each download: a second retrieval at 2026-10-19T12:31:50Z had the same length (1,100,277 bytes), SHA-256 1a1aa1135ad8aa59bdb949bf8df75262eb6feba51b47f49439dbb819c426fbdd, differed in 32 bytes (ModDate) and had an identical pdftotext -layout text layer. |
| Licence All rights reserved; no reuse allowed without permission (bioRxiv notice) Source metadata | Genomic heterogeneity inflates the performance of variant pathogenicity predictions (Lu, Liu, Lin and Brandes, bioRxiv 2025, v2) No field-specific location recorded Version: bioRxiv preprint version 2, posted 2025-09-10 (version 1 posted 2025-09-08); full-text PDF (21 pages) | catalogued No individual claim review recorded Audit detailsField: Source artifact SHA-256: Hash scope: SHA-256 of one retrieval of the bioRxiv PDF. bioRxiv stamps the PDF on each download: a second retrieval at 2026-10-19T12:31:50Z had the same length (1,100,277 bytes), SHA-256 1a1aa1135ad8aa59bdb949bf8df75262eb6feba51b47f49439dbb819c426fbdd, differed in 32 bytes (ModDate) and had an identical pdftotext -layout text layer. |
Limitations5 values
| Genomic heterogeneity inflates the performance of variant pathogenicity predictions (Lu, Liu, Lin and Brandes, bioRxiv 2025, v2) No field-specific location recorded Version: bioRxiv preprint version 2, posted 2025-09-10 (version 1 posted 2025-09-08); full-text PDF (21 pages) | catalogued No individual claim review recorded Audit detailsField: Source artifact SHA-256: Hash scope: SHA-256 of one retrieval of the bioRxiv PDF. bioRxiv stamps the PDF on each download: a second retrieval at 2026-10-19T12:31:50Z had the same length (1,100,277 bytes), SHA-256 1a1aa1135ad8aa59bdb949bf8df75262eb6feba51b47f49439dbb819c426fbdd, differed in 32 bytes (ModDate) and had an identical pdftotext -layout text layer. |
| Media type application/pdf Source metadata | Genomic heterogeneity inflates the performance of variant pathogenicity predictions (Lu, Liu, Lin and Brandes, bioRxiv 2025, v2) No field-specific location recorded Version: bioRxiv preprint version 2, posted 2025-09-10 (version 1 posted 2025-09-08); full-text PDF (21 pages) | catalogued No individual claim review recorded Audit detailsField: Source artifact SHA-256: Hash scope: SHA-256 of one retrieval of the bioRxiv PDF. bioRxiv stamps the PDF on each download: a second retrieval at 2026-10-19T12:31:50Z had the same length (1,100,277 bytes), SHA-256 1a1aa1135ad8aa59bdb949bf8df75262eb6feba51b47f49439dbb819c426fbdd, differed in 32 bytes (ModDate) and had an identical pdftotext -layout text layer. |
| Publication status preprint Source metadata | Genomic heterogeneity inflates the performance of variant pathogenicity predictions (Lu, Liu, Lin and Brandes, bioRxiv 2025, v2) No field-specific location recorded Version: bioRxiv preprint version 2, posted 2025-09-10 (version 1 posted 2025-09-08); full-text PDF (21 pages) | catalogued No individual claim review recorded Audit detailsField: Source artifact SHA-256: Hash scope: SHA-256 of one retrieval of the bioRxiv PDF. bioRxiv stamps the PDF on each download: a second retrieval at 2026-10-19T12:31:50Z had the same length (1,100,277 bytes), SHA-256 1a1aa1135ad8aa59bdb949bf8df75262eb6feba51b47f49439dbb819c426fbdd, differed in 32 bytes (ModDate) and had an identical pdftotext -layout text layer. |
| Retrieved at 2026-10-19T12:23:08Z Source metadata | Genomic heterogeneity inflates the performance of variant pathogenicity predictions (Lu, Liu, Lin and Brandes, bioRxiv 2025, v2) No field-specific location recorded Version: bioRxiv preprint version 2, posted 2025-09-10 (version 1 posted 2025-09-08); full-text PDF (21 pages) | catalogued No individual claim review recorded Audit detailsField: Source artifact SHA-256: Hash scope: SHA-256 of one retrieval of the bioRxiv PDF. bioRxiv stamps the PDF on each download: a second retrieval at 2026-10-19T12:31:50Z had the same length (1,100,277 bytes), SHA-256 1a1aa1135ad8aa59bdb949bf8df75262eb6feba51b47f49439dbb819c426fbdd, differed in 32 bytes (ModDate) and had an identical pdftotext -layout text layer. |
| Source location Results; Figure 1 (page 8); Methods; Supplementary Figures S1 and S2 (pages 20 to 21) Source metadata | Genomic heterogeneity inflates the performance of variant pathogenicity predictions (Lu, Liu, Lin and Brandes, bioRxiv 2025, v2) No field-specific location recorded Version: bioRxiv preprint version 2, posted 2025-09-10 (version 1 posted 2025-09-08); full-text PDF (21 pages) | catalogued No individual claim review recorded Audit detailsField: Source artifact SHA-256: Hash scope: SHA-256 of one retrieval of the bioRxiv PDF. bioRxiv stamps the PDF on each download: a second retrieval at 2026-10-19T12:31:50Z had the same length (1,100,277 bytes), SHA-256 1a1aa1135ad8aa59bdb949bf8df75262eb6feba51b47f49439dbb819c426fbdd, differed in 32 bytes (ModDate) and had an identical pdftotext -layout text layer. |
Sources and history
Release 2026-11-02-a7f03c9e55a5 · Record review: source checked
Primary source retrieved and hashed for the 2026-10-19 AlphaGenome variant evidence extraction.
Technical metadata and extraction receipts
Stable ID: lu-hetero-20261019-source-preprint-v2
- areas
- dna-genomes
- contexts
- clinical_research
- url
- https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.09.05.674459
- artifact url
- https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.09.05.674459v2.full.pdf
- doi
- 10.1101/2025.09.05.674459
- version
- bioRxiv preprint version 2, posted 2025-09-10 (version 1 posted 2025-09-08); full-text PDF (21 pages)
- retrieved at
- 2026-10-19T12:23:08Z
- artifact sha256
- 5b8e939257000811a6eaddd90d9de3e03bf1ac0e9015a38769df887ee01f9bf2
- publication status
- preprint
- licence
- All rights reserved; no reuse allowed without permission (bioRxiv notice)
- media type
- application/pdf
- source locator
- Results; Figure 1 (page 8); Methods; Supplementary Figures S1 and S2 (pages 20 to 21)
- hash scope
- SHA-256 of one retrieval of the bioRxiv PDF. bioRxiv stamps the PDF on each download: a second retrieval at 2026-10-19T12:31:50Z had the same length (1,100,277 bytes), SHA-256 1a1aa1135ad8aa59bdb949bf8df75262eb6feba51b47f49439dbb819c426fbdd, differed in 32 bytes (ModDate) and had an identical pdftotext -layout text layer.
- limitations
- Preprint, not peer reviewed. The authors' repository README (Brandes-Lab/VEP-eval, read 2026-10-19, not pinned) names a 2026 Nature Communications version with a rebuilt benchmark (ClinVar February 2026, MANE 1.5) and more models; its DOI did not resolve on 2026-10-19 and it was not extracted.; Figure 1 and Supplementary Figure S2 have no text layer; their printed labels were transcribed from renders.; No uncertainty is printed for any AUROC.; Independent of the AlphaGenome, Evo 2, GPN-MSA and AlphaMissense developers. N. Brandes is an author of the ESM1b variant-effect pipeline reused here for the ESM models.; Supplementary Table S1 (per-variant scores) was not retrieved.