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Contested result

EVmutation and Tranception: ProteinGym: Large-Scale Benchmarks for Protein Fitness Prediction and Design and Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML) disagree

  • Low severity
  • Not yet reviewed
  • two-study-conflict
  • different-task

ProteinGym: Large-Scale Benchmarks for Protein Fitness Prediction and Design ranks Tranception above EVmutation in 15 of 18 comparisons; Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML) ranks EVmutation above Tranception in 7 of 7 comparisons. No other study gives a verdict, so neither is the outlier.

An automatic lead, not a finding of error. The results below are shown as published, everywhere on the site, until a reviewer decides otherwise.

Which studies agree

2 papers rank EVmutation above Tranception in 10 of their 26 comparisons and Tranception higher in 15; 1 is a tie. Of those papers, ProteinGym ranks Tranception higher on its own (15 of 19).

Papers grouped by which system they rank higher: EVmutation or TranceptionRank EVmutation higher: Livesey and Marsh 2025. Rank Tranception higher: ProteinGym. Mixed: none.Rank EVmutation higherMixedRank Tranception higherLivesey and Marsh 2025Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML)ProteinGymProteinGym: Large-Scale Benchmarks for Protein Fitness Prediction and Design
  • Rank EVmutation higher (1): Livesey and Marsh 2025
  • Rank Tranception higher (1): ProteinGym
  • Mixed (0): none

Each paper sits where at least two thirds of its comparisons point; Mixed means neither model reaches two thirds. The larger, outlined dot is the paper that disagrees.

Comparisons in which each paper scores EVmutation or Tranception higherProteinGym: EVmutation higher in 3, Tranception higher in 15, 1 tie. Livesey and Marsh 2025: EVmutation higher in 7, Tranception higher in 0, 0 ties.ProteinGymProteinGym: Large-Scale Benchmarks for Protein Fitness Prediction and Design3 EVmutation higher31 tie15 Tranception higher15Livesey and Marsh 2025Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML)7 EVmutation higher7
EVmutation higherTieTranception higherNumbers are counts of comparisons; the outlined bar is the paper that disagrees.
Papers compared (2)
PaperRoleRanks EVmutation higherRanks Tranception higherTies
ProteinGym: Large-Scale Benchmarks for Protein Fitness Prediction and Design and 6 more records · DOIAgrees3151
Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML) and 1 more record · DOIAgrees700
Comparisons in ProteinGym (19)
ProtocolDatasetMetricEVmutationTranceptionHigher
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Activity assays: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.440.465Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Binding assays: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.3170.349Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Expression assays: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.3780.45Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, High MSA depth proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.4040.471Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Human proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.410.455Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Low MSA depth proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.3990.421Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Medium MSA depth proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.4260.443Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Organismal fitness assays: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.410.435Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Other eukaryote proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.4480.497Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Prokaryote proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.4140.414Tie
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Stability assays: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.430.471Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Virus proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.3930.438Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, mean over selection types of the per-type mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman (all 217 assays)), unitless0.3950.434Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, variants with 1 substitution: mean over protein and selection-type groups of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.3760.422Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, variants with 2 substitutions: mean over protein and selection-type groups of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.2730.254EVmutation
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, variants with 3 substitutions: mean over protein and selection-type groups of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.3270.346Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, variants with 4 substitutions: mean over protein and selection-type groups of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.3180.325Tranception
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, variants with 5 or more substitutions: mean over protein and selection-type groups of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.3940.387EVmutation
ProteinGym AMFR official zero-shot Spearman snapshotProteinGym AMFR 4G3O official snapshot cohortSpearman, unitless0.4180.356EVmutation
Comparisons in Livesey and Marsh 2025 (7)
ProtocolDatasetMetricEVmutationTranceptionHigher
Livesey and Marsh 2025 clinical benchmark: pairwise AUROC win rate, ClinVar pathogenic versus gnomAD missenseLivesey and Marsh 2025 clinical set: ClinVar pathogenic versus gnomAD v4.1 missense (819 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against all other VEPs, per-protein AUROC on shared variants, ClinVar P/LP versus gnomAD v4.1 missense, proteins with at least 10 of each), percent58.139.7EVmutation
Livesey and Marsh 2025 DMS benchmark: pairwise |Spearman| win rate, all 36 DMS setsLivesey and Marsh 2025 human DMS benchmark set (36 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against all other VEPs, |Spearman| with DMS on shared variants, 36 human DMS sets), percent70.844.5EVmutation
Livesey and Marsh 2025 DMS benchmark: pairwise |Spearman| win rate, all 36 DMS setsLivesey and Marsh 2025 human DMS benchmark set (36 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against the five top-ranked VEPs (column top_5_winrate; the five are not listed in the table), |Spearman| with DMS on shared variants, 36 human DMS sets), percent10.76.44EVmutation
Livesey and Marsh 2025 DMS benchmark: pairwise |Spearman| win rate, direct assays onlyLivesey and Marsh 2025 human DMS benchmark set (36 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against all other VEPs, |Spearman| with DMS on shared variants, direct DMS assays only), percent74.351.9EVmutation
Livesey and Marsh 2025 DMS benchmark: pairwise |Spearman| win rate, indirect assays onlyLivesey and Marsh 2025 human DMS benchmark set (36 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against all other VEPs, |Spearman| with DMS on shared variants, indirect DMS assays only), percent68.339.3EVmutation
Livesey and Marsh 2025 DMS benchmark: pairwise |Spearman| win rate, SNV-accessible substitutions onlyLivesey and Marsh 2025 human DMS benchmark set (36 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against all other VEPs, |Spearman| with DMS on shared variants, SNV-accessible substitutions only), percent7245.1EVmutation
Livesey and Marsh 2025 DMS benchmark: pairwise |Spearman| win rate, SNV-accessible substitutions with gaps filledLivesey and Marsh 2025 human DMS benchmark set (36 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against all other VEPs, |Spearman| with DMS, SNV-accessible substitutions, missing predictions filled with the VEP's most benign score), percent68.846.6EVmutation

What disagrees

studies
2
Compared
EVmutation, Tranception
Study that disagrees
Other studies
Rule
two-study-conflict; different-task
Model identity
Matched across studies partly through links not yet reviewed

Follow-up

Current state: Not yet reviewed.

No one has reviewed this finding yet.

How to help resolve this

If you know why these studies disagree, for example a different population, metric or preprocessing step, or you have a corrected value, tell us through the contribution form. A reviewer checks every submission against its source before anything changes, and the step is added to the follow-up above.

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