rewirebio.iobenchmarks
Contested result

ESM-1v and DeepSequence: ProteinGym: Large-Scale Benchmarks for Protein Fitness Prediction and Design and Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML) disagree

  • Low severity
  • Not yet reviewed
  • two-study-conflict
  • different-task

ProteinGym: Large-Scale Benchmarks for Protein Fitness Prediction and Design ranks DeepSequence above ESM-1v in 13 of 17 comparisons; Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML) ranks ESM-1v above DeepSequence in 6 of 7 comparisons. No other study gives a verdict, so neither is the outlier.

An automatic lead, not a finding of error. The results below are shown as published, everywhere on the site, until a reviewer decides otherwise.

Which studies agree

2 papers rank ESM-1v above DeepSequence in 10 of their 26 comparisons and DeepSequence higher in 14; 2 are ties. Of those papers, ProteinGym ranks DeepSequence higher on its own (13 of 19).

Papers grouped by which system they rank higher: ESM-1v or DeepSequenceRank ESM-1v higher: Livesey and Marsh 2025. Rank DeepSequence higher: ProteinGym. Mixed: none.Rank ESM-1v higherMixedRank DeepSequence higherLivesey and Marsh 2025Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML)ProteinGymProteinGym: Large-Scale Benchmarks for Protein Fitness Prediction and Design
  • Rank ESM-1v higher (1): Livesey and Marsh 2025
  • Rank DeepSequence higher (1): ProteinGym
  • Mixed (0): none

Each paper sits where at least two thirds of its comparisons point; Mixed means neither model reaches two thirds. The larger, outlined dot is the paper that disagrees.

Comparisons in which each paper scores ESM-1v or DeepSequence higherProteinGym: ESM-1v higher in 4, DeepSequence higher in 13, 2 ties. Livesey and Marsh 2025: ESM-1v higher in 6, DeepSequence higher in 1, 0 ties.ProteinGymProteinGym: Large-Scale Benchmarks for Protein Fitness Prediction and Design4 ESM-1v higher42 tie213 DeepSequence higher13Livesey and Marsh 2025Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML)6 ESM-1v higher61 DeepSequence higher1
ESM-1v higherTieDeepSequence higherNumbers are counts of comparisons; the outlined bar is the paper that disagrees.
Papers compared (2)
PaperRoleRanks ESM-1v higherRanks DeepSequence higherTies
ProteinGym: Large-Scale Benchmarks for Protein Fitness Prediction and Design and 6 more records · DOIAgrees4132
Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML) and 1 more record · DOIAgrees610
Comparisons in ProteinGym (19)
ProtocolDatasetMetricESM-1vDeepSequenceHigher
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Activity assays: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.420.455DeepSequence
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Binding assays: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.320.363DeepSequence
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Expression assays: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.4290.39ESM-1v
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, High MSA depth proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.4950.474ESM-1v
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Human proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.4580.443ESM-1v
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Low MSA depth proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.3160.37DeepSequence
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Medium MSA depth proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.4090.431DeepSequence
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Organismal fitness assays: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.3860.411DeepSequence
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Other eukaryote proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.4640.486DeepSequence
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Prokaryote proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.4130.439DeepSequence
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Stability assays: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.4770.476Tie
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, Virus proteins: mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.2940.358DeepSequence
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, mean over selection types of the per-type mean over proteins of assay-level Spearman (all 217 assays)), unitless0.4070.419DeepSequence
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, variants with 1 substitution: mean over protein and selection-type groups of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.4030.405Tie
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, variants with 2 substitutions: mean over protein and selection-type groups of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.2150.263DeepSequence
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, variants with 3 substitutions: mean over protein and selection-type groups of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.1730.314DeepSequence
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, variants with 4 substitutions: mean over protein and selection-type groups of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.1530.322DeepSequence
ProteinGym v1.3 zero-shot DMS substitutionsProteinGym DMS substitution assays at commit 144fe22 (217 assays)Spearman (ProteinGym zero-shot DMS substitutions, variants with 5 or more substitutions: mean over protein and selection-type groups of assay-level Spearman), unitless0.2180.378DeepSequence
ProteinGym AMFR official zero-shot Spearman snapshotProteinGym AMFR 4G3O official snapshot cohortSpearman, unitless0.4230.407ESM-1v
Comparisons in Livesey and Marsh 2025 (7)
ProtocolDatasetMetricESM-1vDeepSequenceHigher
Livesey and Marsh 2025 clinical benchmark: pairwise AUROC win rate, ClinVar pathogenic versus gnomAD missenseLivesey and Marsh 2025 clinical set: ClinVar pathogenic versus gnomAD v4.1 missense (819 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against all other VEPs, per-protein AUROC on shared variants, ClinVar P/LP versus gnomAD v4.1 missense, proteins with at least 10 of each), percent61.465.9DeepSequence
Livesey and Marsh 2025 DMS benchmark: pairwise |Spearman| win rate, all 36 DMS setsLivesey and Marsh 2025 human DMS benchmark set (36 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against all other VEPs, |Spearman| with DMS on shared variants, 36 human DMS sets), percent81.576.6ESM-1v
Livesey and Marsh 2025 DMS benchmark: pairwise |Spearman| win rate, all 36 DMS setsLivesey and Marsh 2025 human DMS benchmark set (36 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against the five top-ranked VEPs (column top_5_winrate; the five are not listed in the table), |Spearman| with DMS on shared variants, 36 human DMS sets), percent28.117.3ESM-1v
Livesey and Marsh 2025 DMS benchmark: pairwise |Spearman| win rate, direct assays onlyLivesey and Marsh 2025 human DMS benchmark set (36 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against all other VEPs, |Spearman| with DMS on shared variants, direct DMS assays only), percent78.473.5ESM-1v
Livesey and Marsh 2025 DMS benchmark: pairwise |Spearman| win rate, indirect assays onlyLivesey and Marsh 2025 human DMS benchmark set (36 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against all other VEPs, |Spearman| with DMS on shared variants, indirect DMS assays only), percent83.678.4ESM-1v
Livesey and Marsh 2025 DMS benchmark: pairwise |Spearman| win rate, SNV-accessible substitutions onlyLivesey and Marsh 2025 human DMS benchmark set (36 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against all other VEPs, |Spearman| with DMS on shared variants, SNV-accessible substitutions only), percent81.578.4ESM-1v
Livesey and Marsh 2025 DMS benchmark: pairwise |Spearman| win rate, SNV-accessible substitutions with gaps filledLivesey and Marsh 2025 human DMS benchmark set (36 proteins)Pairwise win rate (average pairwise win rate against all other VEPs, |Spearman| with DMS, SNV-accessible substitutions, missing predictions filled with the VEP's most benign score), percent81.877.5ESM-1v

What disagrees

studies
2
Compared
ESM-1v, DeepSequence
Study that disagrees
Other studies
Rule
two-study-conflict; different-task
Model identity
Matched across studies partly through links not yet reviewed

Follow-up

Current state: Not yet reviewed.

No one has reviewed this finding yet.

How to help resolve this

If you know why these studies disagree, for example a different population, metric or preprocessing step, or you have a corrected value, tell us through the contribution form. A reviewer checks every submission against its source before anything changes, and the step is added to the follow-up above.

Finding discrepancy-2eecdc1a21f0ad8f · All contested results · How findings are made and followed up