rewirebio.iobenchmarks
Evidence and investigation

Contested results

Where one study disagrees with what other studies report for the same models, and what we are doing to resolve each case.

These are automatic leads, not findings of error. Each release, a check compares how every study ranks the models it shares with other studies. It flags a study that reverses the order the others agree on, or whose gap to a shared reference model lies well outside theirs. Different tasks, populations or metrics often explain a flag.

A flag never hides a result. Flagged results stay in every table, page and download, marked Contested. A result is withheld only when a reviewer marks it disputed.

How the check works, and how each follow-up is recorded: discrepancies between studies.

In this release

  • 121open
  • 5settled
  • 7resolved
  • 1medium severity
  • 132low severity

Release 2026-11-02-a7f03c9e55a5 · 133 findings in all · rules version 4

Findings

Status: All · Open · Settled · Resolved

Severity: All · Medium · Low

State: All · Not yet reviewed · Under investigation · Explained · Confirmed error · Not a real disagreement

Showing findings that compare CADD. All models

4 findings match, most severe first.

CADD and FATHMM-XF: Comprehensive assessment of computational algorithms in predicting cancer driver mutations reverses the order

  • Low severity
  • Not yet reviewed
  • Ordering reversal
  • unknown

Comprehensive assessment of computational algorithms in predicting cancer driver mutations ranks FATHMM-XF above CADD in 10 of 10 comparisons; 2 of 2 other studies rank CADD above FATHMM-XF.

2 papers rank CADD above FATHMM-XF in all 12 comparisons that are not ties (1 is a tie). Comprehensive assessment… ranks FATHMM-XF above CADD in all 10 of its comparisons.

Comparisons in which each paper scores CADD or FATHMM-XF higher2 other papers: CADD higher in 12, FATHMM-XF higher in 0, 1 tie. Comprehensive assessment… (disagrees): CADD higher in 0, FATHMM-XF higher in 10, 0 ties.2 other papers12 CADD higher121 tieDisagrees: Comprehensive assessment…Comprehensive assessment of computational algorithms in predicting cancer driver mutations10 FATHMM-XF higher10
CADD higherTieFATHMM-XF higher
Compared
CADD, FATHMM-XF

Not reviewed yet.

ESM-2 and CADD: Genome modelling and design across all domains of life with Evo 2: Supplementary Data 1, human variant effect prediction results (Nature 2026) and Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML) disagree

  • Low severity
  • Not yet reviewed
  • two-study-conflict
  • different-task

Genome modelling and design across all domains of life with Evo 2: Supplementary Data 1, human variant effect prediction results (Nature 2026) ranks CADD above ESM-2 in 14 of 14 comparisons; Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML) ranks ESM-2 above CADD in 6 of 7 comparisons. No other study gives a verdict, so neither is the outlier.

2 papers rank ESM-2 above CADD in 6 of their 21 comparisons and CADD higher in 15. Of those papers, Genome modelling and design across all… ranks CADD higher on its own (14 of 14).

Comparisons in which each paper scores ESM-2 or CADD higher2 other papers: ESM-2 higher in 6, CADD higher in 15, 0 ties.2 other papers6 ESM-2 higher615 CADD higher15
ESM-2 higherTieCADD higher
Compared
ESM-2, CADD

Not reviewed yet.

Condel and CADD: Clinical likelihood ratios and balanced accuracy for 44 in silico tools against multiple large-scale functional assays of cancer susceptibility genes and Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML) disagree

  • Low severity
  • Not yet reviewed
  • two-study-conflict
  • unknown

Clinical likelihood ratios and balanced accuracy for 44 in silico tools against multiple large-scale functional assays of cancer susceptibility genes ranks CADD above Condel in 4 of 5 comparisons; Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML) ranks Condel above CADD in 6 of 7 comparisons. No other study gives a verdict, so neither is the outlier.

2 papers rank Condel above CADD in 7 of their 12 comparisons and CADD higher in 5. Of those papers, Clinical likelihood ratios and balanced… ranks CADD higher on its own (4 of 5).

Comparisons in which each paper scores Condel or CADD higher2 other papers: Condel higher in 7, CADD higher in 5, 0 ties.2 other papers7 Condel higher75 CADD higher5
Condel higherTieCADD higher
Compared
Condel, CADD

Not reviewed yet.

CADD and MutFormer: Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML) and An openly licensed benchmark and per-gene calibration map for missense pathogenicity predictors on activating cancer drivers disagree

  • Low severity
  • Not yet reviewed
  • two-study-conflict
  • unknown

Livesey and Marsh 2025, Genome Biology 26:104 (Europe PMC full text XML) ranks MutFormer above CADD in 7 of 7 comparisons; An openly licensed benchmark and per-gene calibration map for missense pathogenicity predictors on activating cancer drivers ranks CADD above MutFormer in 6 of 6 comparisons. No other study gives a verdict, so neither is the outlier.

2 papers rank CADD above MutFormer in 6 of their 13 comparisons and MutFormer higher in 7. Of those papers, Livesey and Marsh 2025 ranks MutFormer higher on its own (7 of 7).

Comparisons in which each paper scores CADD or MutFormer higher2 other papers: CADD higher in 6, MutFormer higher in 7, 0 ties.2 other papers6 CADD higher67 MutFormer higher7
CADD higherTieMutFormer higher
Compared
CADD, MutFormer

Not reviewed yet.